AUDIO

by Phillip Jensen
Phillip Jensen speaks on Anger as part of a series on emotions in the Christian life, delivered at the Australia Day Convention 2010
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9 hours 34 minutes
Robert Denham commented on Hard Truth # 11: We must help each other more
Sink or swim? What to do with boat people
Michael Jensen
October 21st, 2009

‘So, whaddya reckon - should we let the refugees in or not?’

My year 10 Christian Studies class were – like most St Andrew’s Cathedral School students – good for a heated and rowdy discussion on most things. But I usually found them to be more socially progressive than me. Legalize drugs? Of course! Euthanasia? Abortion? Naturally! Whatever the individual wants. The individual’s right to chose was sacred above all things. (And let’s face it, it was fun to see what might shock the chaplain...)

But this issue, the coming of the boat people to our shores, had them coming from a different direction. There was genuine indignation:

‘They’re queue jumpers. Why can’t they get in line like everyone else?’

‘They ought to send them back to where they came from, and let them apply in their home country if they want to come to Australia.’

‘They will just come here and sponge off the government.’

‘They’ll take all the jobs’.

And someone with a little more wit than this offered:

‘Won’t more people mean a strain on our fragile environment? This country just can’t sustain all the extra people.’

Ah, this is a clever move: play off one liberal concern against another so we can pretend it isn’t about xenophobia at all! What had happened to turn my liberal-thinking students into such reactionaries? I summoned up my courage:

‘But look - how many people are we talking about anyway?’

‘Sir, my Dad says if you let one lot in, thousands will follow, and we will be overrun. And they’ll bring their troubles from home… We have a peaceful country. We don’t want the stress of it here.’

It was unusual for parents to be quoted as authorities by fifteen year olds, it has to be said. Why does the thought of people coming to our shores by boat make us so upset? I pressed the point:

‘You know that we are talking about a few hundred people at most. Overstaying British and Irish backpackers are a bigger problem for immigration. And these are people traumatized by terrible wars, or religious persecution – they can’t go back home, they’ll be persecuted. You can see that they are desperate – that’s why they are risking our shark-infested waters’.

I wasn’t winning this one, though.

‘Sir, they mostly turn out to be faking, anyway.’

Then I noticed one boy – a boy who was well-liked by his peers – sitting quietly at the front of the class, and a thought crossed my mind.

‘Vinh’, I said, ‘how did your parents get to Australia?’

‘By boat, sir’. His broad aussie accent had not a trace of South-East Asia in it.

‘Legally?’

‘Nah’

’How come?’

‘They were running from the Communists at the end of the war’.

‘And what do they do now, that they can send you here?’

‘They run some Vietnamese restaurants’…

I turned to the class:

‘Do you think we should send this sponger Vinh and his layabout family home then?’

Peter Smith    9 months, 1 week ago
Ah Michael, you raise a delicate and dangerous question with literary verve. Ethical decisions (let them in or let them out) remain mere questions until they become personal.

We are rich, and extra-ordinarilyy wealthy (as a nation) and therefore we should embrace them. However, the problem is, what constitutes a refugee? Is it those who are escaping cruel regimes and dictators, those living in poverty or those affected by climate change or some other threat?

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
God is especially concerned about the plight of the refugee (eg. Deuteronomy 24:19), and Christians should reflect this attitude. Also, Australia is a rich country, and it is right and proper that we extend charity in this area. As it happens, we actually do quite a lot.

So I think that Christians should have compassion toward boat people. At the same time, I don't think it's honest to turn a blind eye to the consequences of this. Common sense suggests that softer attitudes towards the boats will encourage more to attempt this hazardous journey. Recent experience affirms this.

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
It should also be noted that those who use people smugglers usually have significant resources. It is the strongest, wealthiest, most resourceful of refugees that reach our shores via boats. In that sense, if we are going to resettle refugees (which we do), it's almost in our own interests to settle boat people over those who are waiting to be processed by the UN. But it does mean that the strong are being favoured over the most needy.

This is not to suggest that we should turn back the boats - I don't believe that. I believe we should extend a generous hand to those who seek refuge in our country. But we need to be honest about the consequences of this, as well.

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Michael Jensen    9 months, 1 week ago
It's a question of proportions, though. Australians seem to have a deep concern about potential immigrants arriving from the sea. These have only ever numbered in the hundreds. The overwhelming numbers of illegal immigrants come by plane - and yet we somehow don't have the same emotional feeling about it.

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
I don't think that is an entirely honest argument. The "illegals" who come by plane have usually just overstayed their visa, and plan to return to their native country once they've finished their holiday. They are not seeking permanent resettlement. It's not a valid comparison.

It's also not quite true that boat people have only ever numbered in the hundreds. In 2001 over 5000 boat people came to Australia (source).

I agree with the essence of your position, I just don't think you should gild the lily too much.

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Andrew Beeston    9 months, 1 week ago
Here's some interesting statistics on the detention of illegal immigrants (updated weekly): 1036 people in detention for 'irregular maritime arrivals' (out of 1271 people). Notice the high proportion of people who arrived by water.

Along side that is this page about visa overstayers which states An estimate of the number of overstayers in the Australian community is calculated every six months. Since June 2004, this estimate has remained below 50 000 against a total Australian population of around 21 million.

From another stats page, in 2002 27% of the 60,000 overstayers in Australia had overstayed their visa by 10 years or more.

I sure would mind being one of the 1036 people in detention for arriving by boat. Looks like a much larger amount of people are getting away with it because they're richer and can afford the flight.

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Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
I think we should crack down on the Pommy backpackers and according to todays SMH there is hard proof they are the ones spreading disease.

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Jim Wackett    9 months, 1 week ago
We do need an open, compassionate and generous approach to assisitng refugees.

But it is often in the best interestes of displaced persons and refugees to ensure that that don't loose all of whatever money they have left to ruthless people smugglers who have no qualms about risking the lives of men women and children in unseaworthy vessels, taking advntage of their desperate plight and hope for a better future.

I don't have an easy answer as to how to achieve this, because it is not an easy problem. But I don't want us to get to a point where we see boat people as more worthy of acceptance because they were desperate enough to risk their lives to get here. A refugee fleeing persecution, war or genocide is a refugee - whether they are awaiting processing by the IOM or UNHCR in a second country or aboard a leaking boat.

I spent several years as an aid worker in Asia and Africa and spent time in many IDP and refugee camps. The agencies who run these and process refugees/displaced people are always under-staffed and under-resourced and the process is long and drawn out as a result. Perhaps this is where we need to be focussing more of our effort - addressing the demand more efficiently at the source so that people don't resort to risking their lives.

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Jenny Kemp    9 months, 1 week ago
This is such a great story Michael. And I agree with Jim. Some of the billions of dollars spent to process boat arrivals offshore could be used to fund agencies processing refugees stuck in refugee camps. I'd get pretty desperate if I'd been stuck in a refugee camp for 9 years waiting for the completion of due process.

In Saturday's Herald, David Marr said that in 33 years since the fall of Saigon and the first load of boat people arrived, Australia has taken in a total of 3.5 million new settlers. In this time there have been 19,500 'irregular maritime arrivals' to Australia.
Source

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Matthew Moffitt    9 months, 1 week ago
I was only a matter of time until someone wrote this.

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Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
One practical thing churches should do is raise funds for Phin Tang's Diocesan Refugee Ministry which unless money can be raised will be wound up due to the Diocese's losses.

It is the only 'church-based' (rather than Christian agency-based) refugee ministry in Sydney.

More details in Southern Cross due out on Monday.

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Michael Jensen    9 months, 1 week ago
Thanks Jeremy.

David Marr's pieces about Christmas Island are very powerful. Symbolically, we love the idea of processing asylum seekers offshore. And yet, to put such a facility thousands of kilometres away from public scrutiny - knowing what we know about how often we stuff up the business of detaining people - is a bizarre and expensive strategy. What is it saying about the Australian psyche?

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Sheldon Ryan    9 months, 1 week ago
I wanna know how the kids answered the last question

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Michael Jensen    9 months, 1 week ago
I can't remember!

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Luke Stevens    9 months, 1 week ago
David Marr's piece mentioned by Jenny - Come hell or high water, was excellent on the weekend.

But I don't want us to get to a point where we see boat people as more worthy of acceptance because they were desperate enough to risk their lives to get here

I don't think anyone has suggested that.

Let's look at the numbers - assume worst case number of boat arrivals (5000) per year, all refugees, for the next 100 years. That would be 500,000 people. Based on a static population of 20 million for the next 100 years (which is highly unlikely), that would represent 500,000 people by 2109.

This extreme, nightmare (& impossible) scenario for Australia's xenophobes would equate to... 2.5% of our population, by 2109. Divide by a more reasonable factor of 5, and that's 0.5% population of refugees arriving by boat over 100 years. Yet it generates so much hysteria.
As for the "softer attitudes = more boats" line, this seems to be counter productive. What do we do? Do we ramp up the toughness factor - put women and children refugees in jail for indefinite periods of time, again? And then if boats keep arriving, somehow ratchet it up even further? Political auctions on "toughness" eventually reach a grossly inhumane peak which most people find unacceptable, & then you have to become "softer," i.e. vaguely humane, & the whole process starts again.

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Geoff Broughton    9 months, 1 week ago
In general criminology research & literature, the 'deterrence theory' of punishment is largely discredited, although it works powerfully at the ballot box (ie. tougher penalties = less offending).

Speeding fines are a good illustration. The fines in NSW are quite heavy and should act as a significant deterrence.
But to work as a deterrence, the majority of drivers need to think:

"if I am caught speeding, it will cost me a lot of money, some points off my license and eventually the inconvenience, embarrassment and hassle if my license is suspended"

instead of:

"its late, there are no other cars on the road, there are no speed cameras on this road, I'm unlikely to get caught, and the limit is too low for this type of road, its just a revenue-raiser and I'm not going that much over the speed limit anyway"

Tough penalties never work if people don't think they will get caught.

Very occasionally when they do works (e.g. New York's 'zero tolerance' under mayor Rudolph Giuliani) the question of the justice of small / first-time offenders attracting heavy penalties needs answering.

We are inconsistent creatures. On the one hand we detest politicians who lie or use too much spin. Other days we seem content for them to 'talk tough' on some issues when deep down we know it doesn't make any real difference, and don't want to be told the truth:
what is the right thing to do,
that it will involve some sacrifice (albeit smaller than we think)

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Michael Jensen    9 months, 1 week ago
Interesting, the language of sacrifice... could we say that it is the refugees who play a kind of sacrificial role for us? You never see Australia so united as when it is defending itself from a common enemy...

maybe that is too harsh...

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
I think Andrew is correct that we will ultimately discover that "people smuggling" is a far uglier business on the ground than any of us imagine. At that point we will recoil from anything that can be seen as a giving tacit approval to the trade.

Where I disagree with Andrew is this - once the people are here, I believe it is right for us to extend the hand of hospitality and generosity. We need to work hard to help those that are granted asylum to establish themselves as productive members of the community.

I can't agree with "The Pacific Solution" because it was horrifically expensive - over $1million/refugee in the end. That is simply ridiculous.

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
I want to say too that many of the "pro-refugee" crowd are not very helpful to their cause. Their words are often dripping with venomous, sanctimonious contempt for those who disagree with them. You are not going to win over middle-Australia by standing on a hill and shouting that they are all a bunch of red-neck xenophobes. The refugees need gracious advocates...

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Michael Canaris    9 months, 1 week ago
Quite. Moreover, substantively speaking, Australian policy with respect to non-authorised arrivals has seen little change since the early-'90's, yet opprobrium thereof amongst fashionable sorts has concentrated unhealthily on one side of the political spectrum, thus risking polarisation of community views.

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Allan Patterson    9 months, 1 week ago
All I know is that we have a loving Heavenly Father whose very nature is mercy and compassion. He is a welcoming God, a giving God. He does not treat us as our sins deserve. We are servants who should display His very nature and treat others the way we would want to be treated. If I were a boat person, I would want to be shown kindness and mercy.

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Michael Jensen    9 months, 1 week ago
I don't think the language of 'fashionable sorts' etc helps really - it is just the flipside of assuming those who take the Howard view are 'racist xenophobes etc'. Well, Luke used that language, but I guess you expect that from him :-).

I am not in favour of some kind of open-border policy. I am pointing to the way this issue gets us riled, almost out of all proportion. Remember the 'children overboard' affair? The desperation of these people frightens us somehow.

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Luke Stevens    9 months, 1 week ago
Hah! I'm confused. The language of the fashionable sorts is the flipside of assuming those who take the Howard view are xenophobes - I thought people were saying it's the same side? Huh?

In any case, I know Christians like to be dags, but if it's fashionable to think that putting refugees including women & children in jail for arriving on a boat was a bad thing, then maybe we can make an exception? :P

I bring it up because it's worth remembering that this isn't a theoretical debate - that *was* government policy, it's what we, as a nation, actually did, and I don't think we should forget that simply because it's uncomfortable, or deride it as merely "fashionable."

The desperation of refugees may frighten us somehow, but it is something one side of politics gets great political mileage from - note Philip Ruddock popping up saying we had "lost control of our borders" (as though invading hordes were on our rather deep doorstep) and the mythical 10,000 refugees were about to descend upon us - the horror!

The "pro-refugee" crowd (how can Christians be anything but?) has done wonders for refugees often in spite of Government policy and some public sentiment through community and legal advocacy.

I have no idea what the numbers are, but I'd like to think Christians were over-represented in that crowd.
If that makes them fashionable, so be it.

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Leslie Miller    9 months, 1 week ago
We moved here three years ago from Texas, a land of legal and illegal immigrants. There are no good, permanent solutions. Why would any politican want to become involved in trying to solve this problem when none of the solutions are going to be all that great or lasting? It's easier to use the boat people as a political hammer against the other team. And we've heard many church goers do just that. Play the movie, this is not helpful.

While a group of people who are united by their knowledge of Jesus Christ as Lord, cannot come up with a solution to the entire immigrant problem. It can come up with a solution for a family. I have seen this done recently in a small, very red-neck town in Texas. A Karen dentist told a local manufacturing exec about the Karen refugees escaping genocide in Burma. The manufacturer said he'd employ them. The churches in the town helped two families integrate into society by renovating houses for them and helping them navigate public schools. Now they are helping 150 Karens in that town. God gave them 5 talents and now they have more. My Aunt (Director of human resources at the plant) recently took the employees and their families to Sea World. It was one of the best experiences she has ever had.

The best solutions recognize the divine image of all involved. And after living here for three years, I've come to see Paul's advice to simply pray for government leaders, to be every bit as relevant today as it was 2000 years ago.

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
The desperation of refugees may frighten us somehow, but it is something one side of politics gets great political mileage from...

Well, KRudd seems to be looking for some political mileage from it too, with his "no apologies" language.

But I agree that the idea that we will be swamped is unhelpful. In reality we are never "swamped", because we grant permanent residence to a fixed number each year (about 14,000). If more come by boat, that simply means that less are brought in by the other channel (ie, the UNHCR).

As far as the cost, my suspicion is that refugees overall represent a net financial gain to Australia - especially the young, fit males who make up the majority of boat people. Certainly there is a very strong work ethic in the Sri Lankans I've encountered, and I suspect few of them come to Australia wanting to sit around on the dole.

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Alan Dungey    9 months, 1 week ago
Here's a few questions, Michael:

1. How many people have died trying to enter Australia to claim asylum by air (the so-called "bigger problem for immigration") ?

2. How many have died trying to reach here by sea?

3. Will harsh deterrance of maritime entry deter people choosing the latter option?

4. Which policy is therefore the more humane one?

Sometimes you have to be cruel to be kind.

As for the latest Sri Lankan migration, am I the only person who thinks it a little odd that they choose to make such a dangerous journey to Australia, when Tamil Nadu, home to 90 million Tamils, is only a comparative hop away? Why has nobody talked about this. It seems to me so obvious that this is an economic migration, yet nobody in the media will make the obvious comment.

Yes we have a Christian duty to the strangers in our midst, but we are also responsible to our Maker for the consequences of the decisions we take (in this case encouraging thousands to undertake life-threatening journeys) and finally we have a duty to the truth - which seems to me that people come to Australia, rather than many closer possible sources of asylum - for economic, rather than political, reasons.

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Luke Stevens    9 months, 1 week ago
Punishing people smugglers by throwing legitimate refugees inc. women and children in razor wire ringed jails for indefinite periods of time to me seems rather like punishing an abusive parent by jailing their children.

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi Andrew, I understand the logic of your position. But at the end of the day it amounts to treating boat arrivals very harshly in order to deter the people smugglers. This simply does not seem just to me.

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Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
I dont get your position at all Andrew, that sees travelling by boat as the great evil.

Given we are talking about Sri Lankans who live on an island how the heck do impoverished refugees get off the island accept by "leaky" boats whether they sail to India, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, or Australia?

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Alan Dungey    9 months, 1 week ago
Jeremy,

they're not travelling to India - a safe journey which can be undertaken in a matter of hours.

They're coming to Australia, which takes days, because our country has opened the doors.

Travelling by boat is the great evil, because it = substantial risk of death.

We encourage that, or we discourage it. Our decisions have consequences.

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Michael Canaris    9 months, 1 week ago
I am not in favour of some kind of open-border policy

Hooker puts an intriguing aside which seems possible to adduce in favour of one (Laws. Eccl. Pol. Vol 1, ch.10; (gleaned in this instance through O'Donovan: Iren. to Grot. p. 752)) as follows, though:

-------
"...The Strength and virtue of that law are such that no particular nation can lawfully prejudice the same by any their several laws and ordinances, more than a man by his private resolutions, the law of the whole commonwealth or state wherein he liveth. For as civil law being the act of the whole body politic, doth therefore overrule each several part of the same body, so there is no reason that any one commonwealth of itself should, to the prejudice of another annihilate that whereupon the whole world hath agreed. For which cause, the Lacedemonians forbidding all access of strangers into their coasts, are in that respect both by Josephus and Theodoret deservedly blamed (Josephus, Contra Apionem 2.36; Theodoret, Graecarum affectionum curatio 9), as being enemies to that hospitality which for common humanity's sake all the nations on earth should embrace. ..."

(Italics and references O'Donovan's; bolding mine.)

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Duncan W MacInnes    9 months, 1 week ago
This is a very interesting thread, coming from a British (and European) perspective, as the numbers of boat people that have been quoted, pale into insignificance in European terms, with Africans daily trying to cross the Mediterranean Sea, and tragic drownings happening on a regular occurance. Indeed, the Africans crossing the Med, are often 'economic', with some seeking refuge.

If we are talking asylum applications, and refugee status, it does seem that Australia - a vast continent the size of Europe minus European Russia (and London being closer to Moscow, than Sydney is to Perth), with a relitively small population - is a little harsh and mean spirited, in keeping refugees out. According to the UNHCR EU countries over the last 15 years have shouldered the bulk of asylum claims in the world. In this context, Australia should be more welcoming.

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Ian Tyrrell    9 months, 1 week ago
@Duncan, I think in any context we should be more welcoming! But comparing size to size isn't a good way to look at population capacity. The vast majority of Australia's landmass is desert, and not at all habitable.

That being said, we could certainly take far more refugees than we currently do. And I don't think that would be a bad thing at all.

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
Given we are talking about Sri Lankans who live on an island how the heck do impoverished refugees get off the island accept by "leaky" boats whether they sail to India, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, or Australia?

From what I've read, most of them actually fly to Malaysia or Indonesia, and use the boats only for the final leg of the voyage.

And the impoverished refugees aren't using the people smugglers, as the service is relatively expensive.

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
a vast continent the size of Europe

A huge chunk of our continent is completely uninhabitable. You really have to look at economic capacity rather than just landmass.

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Craig Schwarze    9 months, 1 week ago
I am not in favour of some kind of open-border policy

An open border policy could almost work in a capitalist sense. You would need a few things -

1. A very strong police force
2. A completely unregulated labour market
3. Highly restricted access to welfare services

I don't know that people would like the end result though - it would essentially be a class stratified society. You see something similar in the US south, where the relatively porous borders have resulted in a huge underclass of mexican workers, illegally working for very low wages.

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Stephen Noel Howes    9 months, 1 week ago
Guess what! There really is a Biblical basis to guide our attitude to refugees!
In the Old Testament we read of 'foreigners' or 'resident aliens' to describe people who lived more or less permanently among the people of Israel after they they had been forced to leave their own village or tribe because of war or famine. So the word 'refugee' is, in many contexts, as good a translation as any of the O.T. word "ger" and it fits the United Nations definition of a refugee as someone "who, owing to a well-founded fear of persecution on the grounds of race, religion, political belief, nationality or membership of a particular social group is unwilling or unable to claim the protection of his or her own country."

In everyday life such foreigners could count on the protection of Israelite law. e.g. "Do not deprive the refugee or fatherless of justice ..." (Deut 24:17) Refugees were to be treated the same as anyone else in Israel, without discrimination. e.g. "When a refugee resides with you in your land, you shall not oppress the refugee."(Lev 19:33) The Geneva Convention Relating to the Staus of Refugees follows this Biblical teaching in Article XXXI when it states that:
"The contracting States shall not impose penalties, on account of their illegal entry or presence, on refugees who enter or are present in their territories without authorisation, ..." So don't lock away asylum seekers on Nauru for years as punishment for coming here.

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Duncan W MacInnes    9 months, 1 week ago
The nations in the European Union have open borders, for people to live and work (- if they are EU citizens), ie. a UK citizen can freely live and work in Sweden or Italy, and vice versa (there are some restrictions like benefits though). So Britain in a short space of time since the new eastern European countries joined, had an unrestricted open job market, and has been generally regarded as a success, as the new eastern European arrivals have slotted into the economy very well. It is believed that 500,000 Poles alone came after 2004, which has since halved since the recession.

Policing borders in Europe, is a EU wide matter more and more, as greater co-ordination has happened between countries in policing borders, such as extra funding for the Polish border guards in policing the Ukrainian border (which has been a route from Asian people smugglers into Europe), and Spain and Italy asking for help from countries like Britain and Germany in policing trafficing in the Med as Britain and Germany, are often the final desired destinantion of many African migrants. This is a complex issue, and one that cold statistics do injustice to as these are people, made in the image of God.

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David Ball    9 months, 1 week ago
A few observations:

* the first issue in this debate seems to be whether a nation-state has the right to determine which "aliens or strangers" will be allowed to live within its borders. As far as I can tell, the Bible doesn't give us a definitive answer on this. As a matter of freedom, it therefore appears to be permissible, subject to the qualification that we are not to mistreat or oppress an alien (Exodus 22:21) and are to have the same law for the the alien and the native-born (Leviticus 24:23).

* the next question is "are people who arrive unannounced by boat people who we should allow to live within our borders"? Here, it seems to me that we are currently once again in grave danger of demonising them, and assigning all kinds of spurious motives to them in order to avoid having to properly assess whether they are people who genuinely need protection. I read somewhere recently that the amount of money that the people smugglers ask for to get someone to Australia is lower than the going rate for other western / developed countries. If so, a couple of key implications follow:

- the law of supply and demand would suggest that if Australia were really such a desirable destination, the going rate for passage to Australia would be at the higher end of the range, not the lower end;

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David Ball    9 months, 1 week ago
- even in the absence of the "Pacific Solution", Australia is not seen as the desirable destination that we like to think it is. We are perhaps therefore falling into the trap of thinking that we are better than we are;

- the people who do try to come to Australia are those who are most desperate, and who have scraped every last penny together in order to do so. They are hardly the "economic migrants" that the conservative side of politics is trying to make them out to be.

* As I understand it, the idea that the boats stopped coming as a result of the Pacific Solution is a myth. They continued to come for at least a year or so after the Pacific Solution was introduced. The "push" factors around the globe subsequently abated, and the boats have only restarted recently due to the appalling situation in Sri Lanka.

* For my part, I think that the current government's policies are just about right. The Scriptures do not allow us to support the inhumane treatment of aliens, and refugees are a global and regional issue that requires a global and regional solution.

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David Ball    9 months, 1 week ago
And one more observation re Tamil Nadu: Tamil Nadu is not a option for the Sri Lankan asylum seekers - the Indian government will not allow them in other than in hugely overcrowded refugee camps, and is not prepared to even countenance granting them citizenship.

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Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Some facts which might be of interest:

1999: 86 boats (3,722 people)
2000: 51 boats (2,939 people)
2001 (August): Tampa & Pacific Solution
2001 (October): SIEV-X sinks (353 killed)
2001: 54 boats (4,141 people)
2002 (December): no boats for 12 months
2002-2003: no boats
2003-2004: 3 boats (82 people)
2004-2005: no boats
2005-2006: 4 boats (56 people)
2007-2008: 3 boats (25 people)
2008 (August): Rudd abandons Pacific Solution
2009: 23 boats (589 people) and rising dramatically

Click here for ABC fact sheet published in April '9

Click here for Parliamentary Library fact sheet

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Michael Canaris    9 months, 1 week ago
Why does the clause "Some facts which might be of interest:" seem particularly conducive to the production of patently slick enthymemes?

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Allan Patterson    9 months, 1 week ago
I am sorry Michael. What did you say?

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Luke Stevens    9 months, 1 week ago
"Outspoken Western Australian Liberal MP Wilson Tuckey says he's willing to bet that terrorists could be on board boats arriving in Australian waters. " - ABC

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David Ball    9 months, 1 week ago
Andrew @49: Interesting statistics, but:

* do your statistics include boats that did not "arrive" in Australia because they were diverted to Nauru etc?

* how do those statistics (including Pacific Solution arrivals) correlate with arrivals in other countries over the same period?

* even if you are right, the Scriptures do not permit us to argue that the end (border protection) justifies the means (detention in harsh, prison-like conditions, callousness re the SIEV X, etc).

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David Ball    9 months, 1 week ago
Some additional statistics (that might also be of interest):

From blogotariat:

"If we adjust the 2002 number to account for boats that not only attempted to make the voyage, but ended up detained within the Pacific Solution system using the numbers provided by the Select Committee for an inquiry into a certain maritime incident 2002, we can add 1546 to the 2002 number."

(The whole of the blogotariat article - www.blogotariat.com/node/181321 - from which this quote is taken is definitely worth a read).

From Wikipedia:

"As of May 29, 2005, a total of 1,229 asylum seekers had been processed on Nauru. Most of those detained were eventually found to be legitimate refugees, sometimes after more than three years in detention."

(Note: Besides Nauru, the Pacific Solution also included Manus Island in PNG).

From the Australian parliamentary library:

"Between 2001 and February 2008 a total of 1637 people had been detained in the Nauru and Manus facilities. Of these, 1153 (70 per cent) were ultimately resettled in Australia or other countries. Of those who were resettled 705 (around 61 per cent) were resettled in Australia."

#47 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
The "boat people" issue is complex. There are valid comments from different perspectives: ethical, moral, religious, political, economic, legal... & the struggle to override these with the biblical.

A persons perspective determines what they understand; which defines the problem they see; which in large part shapes the particular solution they advocate. Eg: Someone might have a problem with the ethics or legality of "mandatory detention" or the morality of "temporary protection visas". The solutions these people advocate would address these concerns.

I have a problem with "black markets" (eg: drug trafficking, organ trafficking, human trafficking). I firmly believe the most abhorrent injustice occurs in black markets (also called free markets because there are no property rights, no laws, no enforcement). As Christians concerned with injustice and mistreatment of the poor, we should have a good understanding of how they work and how to shut them down.

"Compassionate" policies concern me. I don't dispute the moral and ethical concerns they address, but if they fail to shut down a black market, if they actually encourage its growth, who is accountable for this mis-directed compassion and the resulting misery?

(cont'd)

#48 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
...I ask you to imagine the following: The people who don't survive the journey from the middle east, south asia or south east asia. The people whose money is stolen (by smugglers or thieves). The men whose wives and daughters are raped by smugglers (imagine the power they wield and abuse). The families who are forced to abandon their journey & sell children into slavery or prostitution. The boat loads of people who never survived the Timor Sea... Just some examples of injustice in a black market.

As I see it, any policy that encourages 'demand' for people smuggling is a poor policy. People around the world want to come to Australia. They are either genuine refugees or illegal immigrants. Whatever their location or status they face a decision; to apply for asylum as a refugee at a UNHCR processing center (or embassy?) or pay for a service in a black market for transportation to Australia.

Government policy influences this decision. I think the numbers indicate Phillip Ruddock's policy influenced this decision for thousands of people. The Pacific Solution removed the incentive/motivation/reward to use the services of people smugglers.

At the same time Australia did not reduce its intake of refugees by a single person.

I am "anti black market". I am not "anti-refugee".

#49 of 99 top
Allan Patterson    9 months, 1 week ago
Andrew, you say they have a choice to apply, but many don't have that choice, what about them?

#50 of 99 top
Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
From a huminatarian point of view, the argument still doesn't hold Andrew.

If we in act tougher policies then the people smugglers bypass Australia. This just means the refugees are travelling further in even more dangerous conditions to Canada or Europe.

In fact Sri Lankan refugees have been crossing the Pacific to get to Canada

You have to account for the 'push' factors such as conflict/war.

The argument goes that it is the defeat of the Tamil Tigers in June that has caused the upsurge in refugees from Sri lanka

#51 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Please account for the absence of boat-people in '02,'03, '04, '05, '06 & '07 (see above) despite many "push factors" (eg: Iraq war, Afghan war...)?

Push factors? Pure spin (by Rudd). A political argument to convince the electorate his policy changes had no causative role in the increased boat arrivals. No causative role in re-activating an unscrupulous, unethical, unjust, cruel and vile black market.

I don't accept the argument that "push factors" suddenly appeared, by coincidence, a short time after Rudd's policy changes, and the resulting people smuggling test cases.

#52 of 99 top
Allan Patterson    9 months, 1 week ago
But what about where there are no proper channels to go thru. No queues to join. Do you just stay and rot?

#53 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi Allan, except for refugees/illegal immigrants from Indonesia, every one else is traveling through countries with UNHCR processing centers (or Australian embassies? more facts anyone?)...

If more resources are needed by processing centers - I would be so happy for my tax dollars to be spent in that direction.

#54 of 99 top
David Ball    9 months, 1 week ago
Andrew

I completely get where you are coming from on the evils of people smugglers. One of the problems in the current political debate in Australia is that public opinion does not draw any real distinction between the people smugglers and the refugees - the tendency is to demonise the latter as well.

On "push" factors, it is important to remember that, under international law, the definition of "refugee" is in some ways quite limited. To be a refugee, a person must have a "well-founded" "fear" of "persecution" by reason of one of 5 specific grounds:race, religion, nationality, political opinion or membership of a particular "social group”. The mere presence of war (civil or otherwise) in a country is not enough.

I think you will find that there is a strong correlation between the numbers of boat arrivals and:

- persecution under the Taliban in Afghanistan and Saddam Hussein in Iraq in 2001/2;
- the subsequent American / international invasions that overthrew those regimes;
- the intensification in 2009 of the persecution faced by the Tamils in Sri Lanka.

#55 of 99 top
Michael Jensen    9 months, 1 week ago
Can I take this opportunity to thank the participants for the tenor and quality of this debate?

This issue is, as people can see from the discussion, not an easy one to resolve. It is in fact a global problem - and in global terms is morally complex. I think all would acknowledge that.

What I have appreciated is that for the most part people have avoided saying 'this is the only Christian position'. What's more, we have seen hard, passionate argument put forward - which is only appropriate to the seriousness of the subject - without nastiness or rancour. As we know too well, this is hard to do on the internet. But when it is done, we all benefit (as I have) immensely.

#56 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi David, I need some time to carefully consider comment #62. I think you make excellent points. I also need to consider some other comments. And pray...

I would like to clarify one final aspect of my position. I am not in favor of substituting "refugee demonization" with "smuggler demonization". My concern is the black market in which smugglers find a role. A service they can provide which is valued by people who hand over their money. The incentives. The rewards...

In issues like this, my actual perspective is in large part (too large?) an "institutional" one eg: Poverty is institutionalized in Africa. Alcoholism is institutionalized in remote Aboriginal communities. Innovation is institutionalized in Silicon Valley...

Many of the worst problems endured by the poor are institutionalized.

A great introductory book is called "Understanding the Process of Economic Change" by Douglas North. He is an economic historian who received a nobel prize a few years ago. Its a small book. Not so difficult to understand and the culmination of his life's work. I think its is both helpful and important. Highly recommended.

#57 of 99 top
David Ball    9 months, 1 week ago
Sorry Andrew - when I referred to demonisation, I was thinking in terms of popular opinion. I was not intending to characterise your own position in those terms.

Thanks for the tip re the North book - I will definitely look it up....

#58 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi David, you didn't need to apologize! I didn't for a second think you misrepresented or misunderstood my comments.

After re-reading some of my own comments I just wanted to clarify that I am not trying to exchange one demonized group (boat people) for another (smugglers). I am advocating the position that "black markets" are unethical bastions of injustice and responsible for much mistreatment of the poor.

...an aside, and related to Michael's comments. Since becoming a Christian (a bit over a year ago) I withdrew from the blogosphere altogether - I decided it was (too often) just people fighting each other with words. I wanted no further part in it.

For a year or so I have been content to simply look and read www.sydneyanglicans.net. This was my first involvement. Praise God for a space where those on the center-left and those on the center-right can discuss an issue without 'demonizing' and hating each other.

#59 of 99 top
Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi Andrew,

I think we agree that it would be best that smuggling people in unsea-worthy vessels never occurred.

However I can't agree that the 'push' factors n Sri Lanka are mere 'Rudd spin'.

Over 250,000 people were displaced in the last stages of the fighting around Jaffna in May/June. If was merely the change in the TPV policy that as it has been put rhetorically 'put out the welcome mat' - why didnt we see an upsurge last year?

The BBC reports that about 240,000 are still in a vast camp: see these pictures.

I agree that Australia is an attractive destination but in my view this is primarily because (like Canada) we are peaceful/wealthy and have history of successfully settling minority groups and in the Tamils case there is a pre-existing community here (this is what the refugees themselves claim as the motivation for heading towards Australia and Canada in particular)

My primary doubt is that the TPV policy is a major factor, and wouldn't like to see it re-enacted.

#60 of 99 top
Allan Patterson    9 months, 1 week ago
There are two good articles in this morning's papers on our issue. One by Richard Ackland in the SMH, and the other a letter from Bruce Haigh in the AFR. Well worth the look. And thank you Andrew for your kind comments. The Lord is indeed gracious in saving us from our sins. Blessings brother.

#61 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
August 2008: The new Federal Government, led by Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, abandons the Pacific Solution.

November 19, 2008: The Royal Australian Navy rescues 12 asylum seekers from a sinking boat off the Ashmore Islands off Australia's north-west coast.

It is one of seven boats intercepted in Australian waters in 2008.

January 19, 2009: A group of 20 asylum seekers are taken to Christmas Island after their boat was intercepted off the Western Australian coast.

March 16, 2009: The Navy intercepts a boat carrying 54 people, thought to be Afghanis, near the Cobourg Peninsula.

April 2, 2009: Fifty-three people are found on a boat which has run aground on an island in the Torres Strait.

April 6, 2009: Authorities pick up 63 suspected asylum seekers in a boat off Western Australia's northern coast.

April 8, 2009: A wooden boat carrying 38 asylum seekers and one crew member is undetected until it arrives at Christmas Island.

April 15, 2009: A boat carrying 47 asylum seekers and two crew, believed to be from Afghanistan, is intercepted near Ashmore Island off the north-west Australian coast.

April 16, 2009: An explosion occurs in the early hours of the morning on board the boat carrying asylum seekers. At least three people are killed and 31 are injured. There is speculation the boat was deliberately doused in petrol. It is the sixth boat to arrive in Australia in 2009

...this ABC article was from April.

#62 of 99 top
Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
Bruce Haigh, former diplomat and member of the Refugee Review Tribunal writes:

About 300,000 Tamils are being held in camps controlled by the Sri Lankan Army under the most appalling conditions, including a shortage of food, medical supplies and adequate shelter. The old and very young are dying at the rate of several hundred a month. Who would not want to escape, particularly as conditions are set to deteriorate with the onset of the monsoon season?


and

Bob Birrell, of Monash University, says that the Tamils should wait to be processed by the UN's refugee agency, but it is not allowed access to the camps. If placed in the same situation, would he patiently wait to suffer illness and possibly die?

#63 of 99 top
Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
Thanks Andrew. In other words a dribble until April this year. Aug 08 to May 09 similar rate to pre-Aug 08. (1 every 2 months)

It would be interesting to know the origins of the asylum seekers Sri Lankan, Afghani or other across this entire period.

I wouldn't argue that 'pull factors' are irrelevant.

Is it your view that is took 8 months for the people smugglers to get organised to take advantage of the policy change?

#64 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi Jeremy, I think your comments about 'push factors' are excellent. My "Rudd-spin" comment certainly reflected my center-right bias!

After Rudd's policy changes there were a number of test crossings using mostly Afghani and Pakistani people (see above).

For smugglers it was a "product launch". They were back in business. Once again their skills and service had value. Once again they could market 'hope' for Australian Citizenship in a way that TPV's and The Pacific Solution had nullified. The ugly black market beast was awakening...

I think the current focus on the Sri-Lankans and 'push factors' ignores the increase in boat people for the last year following Rudd's policy changes.

However, at the same time, your comments about push factors are correct. Of course events like the Tamil civil war, pre-surge situation in Iraq and current situation in Afghanistan are "push factors" which increase the "demand" for asylum.

My position is unchanged in the adamant insistence that we must not turn a blind eye to the way people apply for asylum/citizenship because this awakens, facilitates and enables an abhorrent black market.

So I think the number of refugees Australia takes each year (our quota) should have a base line, but change in response to regional 'push factors'.

Alongside the change in quota should be an increase in resources to the relevant processing centers (middle east, south asia & SE asia).

#65 of 99 top
Allan Patterson    9 months, 1 week ago
The sad thing is, we live in a first-world country, where the biggest decision we have to make is what we will have for dinner. We don't put ourselves in the shoes of people who are so desperate to seek a better life for their families that they risk their lives in doing so. There are no easy answers. We can state facts til the cows come home, but we are talking about people made in the image of God. I am sure the reason people are coming here is to hear the Gospel. We won't, or can't go to them, so they are coming to us.

#66 of 99 top
Jenny Kemp    9 months, 1 week ago
Great point Allan.

It is crucial that we have healthy, informed discussion about illegal asylum seekers rather than remaining ignorant or naive about the situation.

However if people are here in our country where we can still freely explain the gospel, shouldn't we be asking ourselves how we are going to make the most of this opportunity?

#67 of 99 top
Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
As I said Andrew, the question is whether the 'processing' centres are functioning properly or at all.

I would agree that the real answer is a coherent multi-national regional approach.

To address the Sri Lankan issue - it would probably need to be led by India which already has 100,000 Tamil refugees in camps in Sth India.

From my limited reading of the Indian press there seems to be concerns there about allowing the Tamils to become Indian citizens.

#68 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi Jeremy,

Is it your view that is took 8 months for the people smugglers to get organised to take advantage of the policy change?


It is my view that the six years from 2002 to 2008 had less than 10 unauthorized boat arrivals. Three of those years had no boats at all. In my view, a successful 'black market' shutdown despite many, many regional push factors...

In the three months following Rudd's policy change there was a similar number of boats. Obviously this has mushroomed in 2009. I don't have the exact numbers and whatever they are, I compare them to the numbers in comment #49.

But I agree with Alan. Talking about numbers gives a deep sense of unease for the reason he expressed:

we are talking about people made in the image of God

#69 of 99 top
Jeremy Halcrow    9 months, 1 week ago
yes of course - but I think the evidence shows the upsurge starting in April 09 (230 asylum seekers that month) not Nov 08 (one boat with seven earlier in the year). ie the gap between policy change and upsurge is 8 months later not 3 months.

That doesn't necessarily negate your point, but it suggests that causality is a bit more complex than entirely about Australian Govt policy.

I watched Ruddock interviewed on Sky this afternoon. He appeared to agree the only way forward is a regional solution, demanding that the Govt take that action.

#70 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Happy to agree that causality is no doubt far more complicated than I understand it to be!

#71 of 99 top
Allan Patterson    9 months, 1 week ago
Andrew, there is a great article with statistics by Mike Steketee in this weekend Australian - Inquirer page 7. It really puts things into perspective re the plight of refugees. Well worth a look.

#72 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi Allan, following your recommendation I bought a newspaper (a novel experience for gen x/y!)...

Mike Steketee's article is similar to Michael Jensen's initial article... "look at the numbers". I will respond properly, but I thought I would post some links which may be of interest:

<a href="http://www.refugeecouncil.org.au/docs/releases/2009/090518_Federal_Budget_RCOA_brief.pdf">Click here for Australian annual refugee quota 2009/2010</a>

<a >UN Global Population Factsheet 2008</a>

<a href="http://www.unhcr.org/cgi-bin/texis/vtx/search?page=search&docid=4a375c426&query=2008 asylum application">UNHCR factsheet 2008</a>

I have extracted some key details:

World '09: 6.8b
Developed countries '09: 1.23b
Australia '09: 21.5m
UNHCR applications for asylum: 827,000 (pending cases)

Australian intake:

REFUGEE AND SPECIAL HUMANITARIAN PROGRAM INTAKE
• As forecast in the 2008-09 Budget, there has been a modest overall increase of 250
places to a total of 13,750 under the 2009-10 Refugee and Humanitarian Program
intake. This comprises 6,000 places under the Refugee component and 7,750 places
(up by 750 places) under the Special Humanitarian component. The Woman at Risk
quota has been increased from 10.5% to 12% of the Refugee component.


16 countries reported the admission of 88,800 resettled refugees during 2008 (with or without UNHCR assistance)

#73 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago

#74 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
The facts I extract from the 2008 UN fact sheet will be biased... I have a center-right political position. I praise God for Capitalism and competitive markets. I am a compassionate, conservative, capitalist Christian.

Bear that in mind as I post extracts from the sources mentioned above:

2008 Global Trends: Refugees, Asylum-seekers, Returnees, Internally Displaced and Stateless Persons

Page 12:

During 2008, a total of 88,800 refugees were admitted by 16 resettlement countries, including the United States of America (60,200)22, Australia (11,000), Canada (10,800), Sweden (2,200), and Finland (750). Overall, this was 18 per cent above the total for 2007 (75,300) and the highest value since 2001 (92,100). Over the last few years, States in Latin America have emerged as new resettlement countries, albeit at a lower scale, offering a durable solution for refugees primarily from Colombia.

#75 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
p12 continued:

In 2008, UNHCR submitted more than 121,000 individual refugees for resettlement
consideration by States, the highest number of the past 15 years and 22 per cent above the 2007 level (99,000). The figures were boosted by a major resettlement operation for Iraqis, especially in Jordan, Lebanon, the Syrian Arab Republic, and Turkey, and for refugees from Bhutan in Nepal. The significant increase in the number of submissions over previous years reflects the improving ability of UNHCR to identify refugees in need of this solution, and a more conscious and strategic use of resettlement for durable solutions and protection purposes.

During the year, more than 67,000 individuals departed with UNHCR assistance, 17,000 more than the year before. This is the highest number since the early 1990s. By nationality, the main beneficiaries of the UNHCR-facilitated resettlement programmes in 2008 were refugees from Myanmar (23,200), Iraq (17,800), Bhutan (8,100), Somalia (3,500), Burundi (3,100), and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (1,800).

Some 85 UNHCR country offices were engaged in facilitating resettlement during 2008. The largest number of refugees who were resettled with UNHCR assistance departed from Thailand (16,800), Nepal (8,200), the Syrian Arab Republic (7,300), Jordan (6,700), and Malaysia (5,900). These five UNHCR offices together accounted for 7 out of every 10 resettlement departure assisted by the organization in 2008.

#76 of 99 top
Stephen Noel Howes    9 months, 1 week ago
I wonder why this discussion has become so focused on statistics.
There are real PEOPLE fleeing to Australia and we have opportunities to help them settle here.
Yesterday, Saturday, I had a great day at an excellent training session to train volunteers who are willing to mentor a migrant or refugee settling in our town, Bathurst. The facilitators were superb and it was funded by the Federal Government. I was heartened to see so many fellow Christians among the trainee mentors.
So please find such a program near you. Get involved. Remember the saying of that Middle Eastern theologian, Paul of Tarsus, to Christians in Turkey: "Do good to all people". Yes, he did add "especially to those of the family of faith" but we can't get away from "Do good to ALL people" including refugees.

#77 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Hi Stephen, this discussion thread started with a challenge to understand more about boat people/asylum seeker/refugee "numbers".

I agree that behind the numbers are people. I would add that part of caring for refugees is understanding the global extent of their plight. That means studying the '08 UN report. I applaud your weekend effort, but would ask you don't criticize some for taking the time to read a 21 page report that effects the lives of 15 million people. Accordingly, I spent considerable time digesting this report. I have started a summary...

It seems the definitive UN resource for this is the (20 page) 2008 Global Trends: Refugees, Asylum-seekers, Returnees, Internally Displaced and Stateless Persons.

The UN estimates there are 42 million people seeking "refuge" around the world. Refuge can be sought in either a) another part of ones home country (approx: 26 million 'internally displaced persons') or b) another country (approx: 15.2 million). The term "refugee" refers to those who seek refuge in another country. Of the estimated 15.2 million refugees approximately 10.5 million were under the UNHCR's responsibility at the end of 2008 (p6).

Where do these refugees come from? Afghanistan. Iraq. Zimbabwe. Eritrea. Somalia. Democratic Republic of Congo. Republic of the Congo. Ethiopia. Nigeria. Malawi. Myanmar. Bangladesh... (unfinished).

#78 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
...I am in complete agreement with your comment Stephen. And in the spirit of showing care to ALL refugees, I would ask others to join me in trying to understand the 2008 UN Report.

One example of something I found confronting:

More than 5 million Afghan refugees – or one fifth of Afghanistan’s population – have returned home since 2002. (p11)


That means the US invasion of Afghanistan and overthrow of the brutal Taliban has created the conditions for 5 million Afghans to return home. Ponder that in light of the following:

Afghanistan has been the leading country of origin of refugees for the past three decades with up to 6.4 million of its citizens having sought international protection during peak years. As of the end of 2008, there were still more than 2.8 million Afghan refugees. In other words, one out of four refugees in the world is from Afghanistan. Even though Afghan refugees were to be found in 69 asylum countries worldwide, 96 per cent of them were located in Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iran alone. Iraqis were the second largest group, with 1.9 million having sought refuge mainly in neighbouring countries. Afghan and Iraqi refugees account for almost half (45%) of all refugees under UNHCR’s responsibility worldwide. (p9)


How does this influence Australian policy towards Afghanistan eg: troop numbers?

#79 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
HOW MANY ARE THERE?

The UN estimates there are 42 million people seeking "refuge" around the world. Refuge can be sought in either a) another part of ones home country (approx: 26 million 'internally displaced persons') or b) another country (approx: 15.2 million). The term "refugee" refers to those who seek refuge in another country. Of the estimated 15.2 million refugees approximately 10.5 million were under the UNHCR's responsibility at the end of 2008 (p6).

WHERE ARE THEY?

By category:

80% - in less developed countries
18% - in one of the 49 least developed countries
2% - in developed countries

By region:

33% - Asia and Pacific region (75% Afghan)
22% - The Middle East and North Africa region (Primarily Iraqi)
20% - Africa (excluding North Africa)
15% - Europe
8% - The Americas region (Colombians constituting the largest number)

#80 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
WHO ARE THEY?

Where do these refugees come from? Failed states eg:

Afghanistan. Iraq. Zimbabwe. Eritrea. Somalia. Democratic Republic of Congo. Republic of the Congo. Ethiopia. Nigeria. Malawi. Myanmar. Bangladesh.

2.8m - Afghans (6.4m at peak, 5m returned home since '02): 96% sought refuge in Pakistan & Iran
1.9m - Iraqis: fled to -> 1.1m sought refuge in Syria
561,000 - Somalis (up 23% as state fails): fled to ?
419,000 - Sudanese (down 20% due to repatriation to the Christian south)
374,000 - Columbia: sought refuge in Equador (82,300)
368,000 - Democratic Republic of the Congo: fled to ?

nb: Afghanistan has been the leading country of origin of refugees for the past three decades with up to 6.4 million of its citizens having sought international protection during peak years. As of the end of 2008, there were still more than 2.8 million Afghan refugees. In other words, one out of four refugees in the world is from Afghanistan. Even though Afghan refugees were to be found in 69 asylum countries worldwide, 96 per cent of them were located in Pakistan and the Islamic Republic of Iran alone. Iraqis were the second largest group, with 1.9 million having sought refuge mainly in neighbouring countries. Afghan and Iraqi refugees account for almost half (45%) of all refugees under UNHCR’s responsibility worldwide.

#81 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
WHICH COUNTRIES ARE HOSTING THESE REFUGEES?

The available statistical evidence demonstrates that most refugees remain in their region of origin and flee to neighbouring countries. Indeed, the major refugee-generating regions hosted on average between 75 and 91 per cent of refugees within the region. UNHCR estimates that some 1.7 million refugees (16% out of the total of 10.5 million) live outside their region of origin.

47% of refugees have sought refuge in just 5 countries:
1.8m - Pakistan (virtually all Afghan, down 250,000 due to voluntary repatriation)
1.1m - Syria (virtually all Afghans)
980,000 - Iran (virtually all Afghans)
583,000 - Germany
500,000 - Jordan
330,000 - Chad (up 12% with those fleeing Central African Republic & Sudan)
322,000 - Tanzania (peaked at 700,000 in '02; down 26% due to repatriation: 95,000 Burundis & 15,600 Congolese)
320,000 - Kenya (up 21% with 65,000 arrivals from Somalia)

#82 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
A CLOSER LOOK AT AFRICA & ASIA

AFRICA (excluding North Africa):
- 2.1 million refugees. Down 7% (8th consecutive year of decline)

Refugee reduction (due to repatriation):
- Burundi (95,400)
- South Sudan (90,100)
- Democratic Republic of Congo (54,000)
- Angola (13,100)

Refugee increase of 210,000 (due to armed conflict/human rights violations):
- People fleeing: Central African Republic, Chad, Democratic Republic of Congo, Somalia, Sudan
- People fled to neighboring countries in: Kenya (65,000), Uganda (49,500), Cameroon (25,700), Chad (17,900)

ASIA PACIFIC REGION
- 3.4 million refugees. Down 6%.

Refugee reduction (due to repatriation):
- Afghans returning from Pakistan (274,000)

#83 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
Some observations and implications:

1) Refugee numbers are greatest in the Asia Pacific region I had assumed it would be the African region

2) The greatest source of refugees now, and for the last three decades have been Afghans How does this influence Australian policy and resources targeted to Afghanistan?

3) Almost all refugees flee to neighboring countries and seek refuge there How does this influence the amount of aid Australia gives to countries adjacent to failed states? Especially when they are almost always less developed countries.

4) In the context of this global problem, what exactly is Australia's contribution via Government policy and tax dollars

5) In the context of this global problem, what exactly is Australia's response? The report says that Australia ranks second behind the US in the number of refugees we take in for "resettlement" at 12,000. What is the context of this contribution?

#84 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months, 1 week ago
My purpose for summarizing is to understand the Australian contribution, and then look at the Australian Christian response...

eg:

More than 839,000 people submitted an individual application for asylum or refugee status in 2008.


UNHCR presented 121,000 refugees for resettlement consideration by States. More than 67,000 refugees were resettled with UNHCR’s assistance during 2008. According to Government statistics, 16 countries reported the admission of 88,800 resettled refugees during 2008 (with or without UNHCR assistance). The United States of America accepted the highest number (60,200 during its Fiscal Year).


During 2008, a total of 88,800 refugees were admitted by 16 resettlement countries, including the United States of America (60,200), Australia (11,000), Canada (10,800), Sweden (2,200), and Finland (750). Overall, this was 18 per cent above the total for 2007 (75,300) and the highest value since 2001 (92,100). Over the last few years, States in Latin America have emerged as new resettlement countries, albeit at a lower scale, offering a durable solution for refugees primarily from Colombia.


So the UNHCR assessed and presented 121,000 refugees to nation states for resettlement, and 88,000 were accepted for resettlement. This leaves 33,000 refugees the UNHCR has assessed and wants to "resettle"... maybe 11,000 families?

How many churches are in Australia?

Each Church One Family?

#85 of 99 top
Michael Canaris    9 months, 1 week ago
For once, I agree with Henderson.

#86 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months ago
From the Australian '09-'10 Budget:
[url=http://www.refugeecouncil.org.au/docs/releases/2009/090518_Federal_Budget_RCOA_brief.pdf]THE 2009-10 BUDGET IN BRIEF:
What it means for refugees and those requiring
humanitarian protection [/url]

$1.789b (down 3.7%) - Department of Immigration & Citizenship

$1.3b - Border & regional security (allocated over 6yrs)

$14.3m - UNHCR (Australia's core contribution) Shocked at how low this is!

$3.8b (up 5.6%) - Australia's total aid budget (almost entirely delivered by AusAID, broken down into the following:

EAST ASIA:
$1.07b (up 4.6%)
Including: Burma ($29m, up 83%)

PACIFIC:
$677m (up 12%)

PAPUA NEW GUINEA:
$414m (up 7%)

CENTRAL ASIA/MIDDLE EAST:
$225m (down 54%)
Including: Afghanistan ($89m, down 27%); Iraq ($45m, down 85%); Pakistan ($59m, up 95%)

AFRICA:
$164m (up 43%)

SOUTH ASIA:
$150m (up 34%)
Including: India ($14m, up 160%); Nepal ($16m, up 95%); Bhutan ($4.8m, up 52%); Sri-Lanka ($36m, up 33%)

#87 of 99 top
David Hinder    9 months ago
I'll come to the party late, perhaps I'll get the last word :) Something law students always want...

Andrew, I disagree with you, but I applaud your sincerity and willingness to wrestle with the issue of 'boat people.' I think the Biblical command to love sojourners and aliens has to take priority over any elimination of black markets. Exodus 22 tells us to treat the sojourner well, not ask how he came to be in Israel...

From a legal perspective, I'd offer the following comments (not directed at anyone in particular).

1) The present system by which refugees are assessed is problematic. Here's the system in a nutshell.

At first instance claims are assessed by an official within the Department of Immigration and Citizenship (DIAC). DIAC officials assess the claims of asylum seekers with reference to Australian law, the Refugee Convention criteria (genuine fear, etc), and policy.

These decisions can then be appealed in the Administrative Appeals Tribunal (AAT) or the Refugee Review Tribunal (RRT). This is a form of review known as merits review: this means that the appellate tribunal can find that the DIAC official got the decision wrong, either because they weighed all the facts up incorrectly, or they didn't accept a fact they should have, etc. The RRT also considers Refugee Convention obligations, etc.

Often the decisions of the minister, and sometimes even RRT decisions, are grossly flawed.

#88 of 99 top
David Hinder    9 months ago
NB - when I say decisions of the minister, I mean the decisions of the DIAC official to whom the ministerial power to make decisions is delegated.

I refer you to this link - it's a good example of the kinds of flaws in Refugee Review Tribunal decisions which I referred to earlier. Scroll down to just below "there are many other reasons why people remain stateless." While their referencing is admittedly not the best, I've read my share of Federal Court and High Court judgments where it's clear that the DIAC officer / RRT have been either chronically overworked, or stupid, lazy, callous, or incompetent.

(For those of you who didn't click the link, errors in RRT decisions have included getting the nationality of the person wrong, making assumptions which fly in the face of evidence presented, etc).

This is not to deride everyone who works there. I sincerely hope the reason most appalling decisions are made there is due to an overload of cases. But that can't explain all the decisions.

Unfortunately the courts do not have the authority to cure many of these decisions. Courts may engage in merits review only in the extremely limited circumstances of Wednesbury unreasonableness . They are reluctant to invoke this, and presently it's a very unclear area of law.

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David Hinder    9 months ago
Courts are limited to making orders (for mandamus, prohibition, or injunctions) when there has been a procedural unfairness.

Unfortunately the Rudd government has done nothing (so far as I know) to expand the jurisdiction courts have to hear appeals. At least they haven't followed Howard's example - he tried to use a privative clauses to prevent any judicial review of RRT decisions whatsoever, in blatant violation of s75(v) of the Constitution. Fortunately the High Court shut him down in (Plaintiff S157/2002 v Commonwealth)

So let's all bear in mind that the assessment of claims for asylum seeker status can be very very bad. (Yes, I may have gotten carried away there).


2) "Let your yes be your yes, and your no be your no."
Australia's ratified the ICCPR, the Declaration of Human Rights, the Refugee Convention, etc. In doing so we have represented to the world that we will not punish those who come to our country in search of asylum. This is a "core promise" (I feel dirtier for typing that phrase). Detention as we practise it is punitive. Either we should 'unratify & unsign' the Conventions, or live up to the spirit of the law.

(So far as I know only the USA has "unsigned" a treaty: under GWB they unsigned the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court. 'Nuf said)

#90 of 99 top
David Hinder    9 months ago
3) Moving detention centres to Indonesia will deprive asylum seekers of their rights under s198C of the Migration Act.

Under s198C, applies to "transitory persons" who have been in Australia for 6 months. It gives such people the right to apply to the RRT for a decision about whether they are a refugee.

Who is a transitory person?
1) Someone who entered Australia at Christmas, Ashmore or Cartier Islands (+ others),
2) Who was then taken to another country or place outside Australia (or who was on HMAS Manoora from MV Tampa/the Aceng).


As s198C only applies to transitory persons who are in Australia, if the transitory persons are in Australia for 6 months, by housing asylum seekers in Indonesia the government denies them their right to have an RRT assessment of their claim.


Also - for any who are interested - Senate review (from 1999) into Australia's Refugee & Humanitarian Processes. Chapter 5, paragraph 5.57 onwards starts to outline the issues with the RRT I referred to above.

Now with these complaints evacuated, I return to my revision of Equity...

#91 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months ago
Hi David,

The people smuggling black market just killed another 20 people with the drownings off the Cocos Islands last night.

As a supporter of the Pacific Solution, I accept that I am accountable for the treatment of people (and children) in mandatory detention.

I assert that those who support Rudd's policy changes are accountable for the consequences of re-starting this black market... Possibly a death toll of 60 or higher since the 'compassionate' policy changes July last year (see #55 above).

I see a great need for policies of the 'wealthy west' to acknowledge that many (most?) human rights abuses happen within the framework of black markets (often in failed states... often causing the failure of a state... and the ensuing armed conflict). The diamond black markets of the Congo would be good example, as would the heroin black markets of Afghanistan.

When the wealthy west buys diamonds from the Congolese black markets it creates those markets. When it buys heroin from Afghanistan, its black markets are created...

When the wealthy west assesses applications from boat people who have had transportation services from black marketeers, it also creates those markets.

Thats my updated 'black market' perspective.

#92 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months ago
Quite rightly, you are bringing up the 'legal' perspective. So very important because:

- of the 1951 Convention relating to the status of refugees

- the Convention's requirement that "As part of its obligation to protect refugees on its territory, the country of asylum is normally responsible for determining whether an asylum-seeker is a refugee or not. The responsibility is often incorporated into the national legislation of the country and is in most cases derived from the 1951 Convention (p14)"

- 90% of last years 839,000 asylum applications were made direct to nations - not UNHCR offices!

I will need some time to digest your excellent comments.

A.

#93 of 99 top
Michael Canaris    9 months ago
As a supporter of the Pacific Solution, I accept that I am accountable for the treatment of people (and children) in mandatory detention.

I assert that those who support Rudd's policy changes are accountable for the consequences of re-starting this black market...

As one who's not particularly keen on either, I see more red-herrings than accountability.

#94 of 99 top
Allan Patterson    9 months ago
Andrew, Andrew, Andrew. Statistics, statitics, statistics. The UN was to be our great hope. We still have slavery. We still have poverty. We still have wars. It can all be summed up as sin. Our only hope is Jesus. This is the message the world needs to hear. We have desperate people risking their lives for a better future. They need our help. The Spirit of Christ in us compels us to help.

#95 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    9 months ago
Hi Allan, I don't disagree with your comment... But behind the numbers are people. People who don't make it on to our TV or into our newspapers. But they also need our help. This complex problem does not start the moment a boat leaves Indonesia, but that is where 99% of the debate and most 'solutions' are focussed.

At some point I hope attention gets focussed on the 13,700 refugees given asylum by Australia as part of our contribution to the UNHCR 'resettlement' program... Can we do more?

Its not directly related, but your comment is echoed in a book I was reading last night, I'd like to give it a plug:

Atheist Delusions: The Christian Revolution and Its Fashionable Enemies

The author (David Bentley Hart) gives a historical synopsis of the revolution caused by the Gospel, and challenges the "Christianity is evil - just look at the Inquisition and the Crusades" account of history advocated by so many evangelical atheists.

#96 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    8 months, 4 weeks ago
Who really helps refugees?

1. USA:
Accepted (total): 76,934
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): 60,192
Applied directly: 121,755 (At start of '08: 82,393 & During '08: 39,362)
Assessed: 74,486
Accepted: 16,742 (Refugee: 16,742 + Complementary protection: 0)
Rejected: 28,407
Dis-continued: 29,337

2. CANADA:
Accepted (total): 18,358
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): 10,804
Applied directly: 72,314 (At start of '08: 37,514 & During '08: 34,800)
Assessed: 18,112
Accepted: 7,554 (Refugee: 7,554 + Complementary protection: 0)
Rejected: 6,784
Dis-continued: 3,774

3. AUSTRALIA:
Accepted (total): 12,851
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): 11,006
Applied directly: 8 840 (At start of '08 & 1,516 During '08: 7,324)
Assessed: 6,659
Accepted: 1,845 (Refugee: 1,845 + Complementary protection: 0)
Rejected: 4,484
Dis-continued: 330

4. FRANCE:
Accepted (total): 11,478
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): 37
Applied directly: 73,650 (At start of '08: 31,051 & During '08: 42,599)
Assessed: 38,089
Accepted: 11,441 (Refugee: 9,648 + Complementary protection: 1,793)
Rejected: 26,648
Dis-continued: no-data

5. SWEDEN:
Accepted (total): 11,235
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): 2,209
Applied directly: 30,324 (At start of '08: 27,723 & During '08: 40,490)
Assessed: 42,049
Accepted: 9,026 (Refugee: 1,930 + Complementary protection: 7,096)
Rejected: 28,411
Dis-continued: 4,612

#97 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    8 months, 4 weeks ago
Who really helps refugees?

6. ITALY:
Accepted (total): 10,019
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): Zero
Applied directly: 30,324 (At start of '08: no-data & During '08: 30,324)
Assessed: 21,447
Accepted: 10,019 (Refugee: 1,785 + Complementary protection: 8,234)
Rejected: 10,379
Dis-continued: 1,049

7. GERMANY:
Accepted (total): 7,853
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): Zero
Applied directly: 62,081 (At start of '08: 34,063 & During '08: 28,018)
Assessed: 20,817
Accepted: 7,853 (Refugee: 7,291 + Complementary protection: 562)
Rejected: 6,761
Dis-continued: 6,203

8. UNITED KINGDOM:
Accepted (total): 7,801
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): 722
Applied directly: 41,347 (At start of '08: 10,800 & During '08: 30,547)
Assessed: 26,573
Accepted: 7,079 (Refugee: 4,752 + Complementary protection: 2,327)
Rejected: 14,000
Dis-continued: 5,494

9. SWITZERLAND:
Accepted (total): 6,588
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): Zero
Applied directly: 29,081 (At start of '08: 12,475 & During '08: 16,606)
Assessed: 15,389
Accepted: 6,588 (Refugee: 2,261 + Complementary protection: 4,327)
Rejected: 4,483
Dis-continued: 4,318

10. NETHERLANDS:
Accepted (total): 6,369
Accepted (via UNHCR resettlement): 693
Applied directly: 19,239 (At start of '08: 5,840 & During '08: 13,399)
Assessed: 10,923
Accepted: 5,676 (Refugee: 515 + Complementary protection: 5,161)
Rejected: 5,247
Dis-continued: no-data

#98 of 99 top
Andrew Russell    8 months, 4 weeks ago
Who really helps refugees?

The summary above was compiled from two sources:

1. UNHCR 2008 Repor
2. Statistical tables (table 9 & table 21).

What surprised me was the following:

1. Australia ranks third behind Canada and the USA
2. Europe has a massive illegal immigrant problem - the vast majority of asylum applications are rejected (see for example France, Germany, Netherlands)
3. The refugees European countries do take tend to be "complementary protection status" not bona fide "Convention status refugees" (I do not understand the difference)
4. Each country assesses asylum seekers using their own set of laws - this issue relates to the legal issues raised by David yesterday...

#99 of 99 top
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